Friday, April 28, 2006

Mexican Demographics & Immigration

From the Wall Street Journal (subscription):

Thanks to a decades-long family-planning campaign, most Mexicans are having far fewer children than was typical a generation ago... [I]n 1968, the average Mexican woman had nearly seven children. Today, the figure is just above two, comparable to the U.S.

This sweeping demographic shift has fostered hope that someday Mexico will produce a healthy middle class... Most Mexicans today are far too poor for luxuries... But the new, smaller Mexican family may help change that by allowing parents to invest more in their children's education, finally producing the generation that lifts Mexico into the developed world.

Mexico's new demographics could have a big impact on the U.S. Although the flood of Mexicans heading north is whipping up debate in Washington, the crossings may slow in future decades. That could happen simply because smaller families limit the pool of potential migrants. A slowdown would be especially likely if a growing middle class makes more Mexicans comfortable at home and averse to risking a dash across the border.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

It is interesting that the WSJ attributes the declining fertility rates to family planning in Mexico.

An alternative explanation is that most of Mexico's young people and their children are in the United States and their high fertility rates are continuing unabated. The only difference is that many of these Hispanic children are American citizens rather than Mexican citizens.


The Table on Page 2 shows a Hispanic population that is much younger, far less likely to be married, less educated, and dramatically more fertile then the rest of the population. These facts hold steady into the third generation with only modest improvement.

We soon won't need to import ignorant serfs from the third world because we will be growing our own.

4/28/2006 9:29 AM  
Blogger Thomas said...

The way to increase the Mexican middle class is to make serious attempts to stamp out corruption.

Corruption is pervasive in all aspects of society and is a serious drag on businesses that are trying to grow.

5/02/2006 12:14 PM  
Blogger Regis R. said...

I'm not going to talk about the fact that most conservatives hate Hispanics (unless they can get votes from them). What I will talk about is that those who are (needlessly) worried about immigration and those who want the poor in Mexico to do better should hope for the victory of Andrés Manuel López Obrador in the recent fraud plagued election. If the betterment of the Mexican people is what you want, HispaniCon, you should be against the free trade policies of America like NAFTA and CAFTA. These policies are bad for the poor of Latin American nations and for the poor of our county as well. But since you are a conservative you are probably for the misguided free market economic policies of your fellow conservatives.

8/27/2006 2:28 AM  

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